In late 1969 the Nixon administration envisioned itself at a crossroads of
national proportions. Having won the 1968 election in the wake of several social
upheavals – both at home and abroad – President Nixon reflected
to a group of advisers that the “real problem in [the] country”
was not the burgeoning youth movement, but “rather [the] leadership class,
the ministers…the college professors and other teachers, the business
leadership class.”[1] By abdicating their social responsibilities,
Nixon felt these middle class professionals were tacitly responsible for the
crises that reverberated through the United States in the late 1960s.
Although Kevin Phillips was not in the Oval Office to hear this particular
lament, he played an instrumental role in presenting Nixon’s vision to
the American public and outlining the parameters of the modern Republican Party.
Serving as a senior Republican strategist in 1968 and later publishing The
Emerging Republican Majority (1969), Phillips has been hailed over the years
as the prophetic analyst who not only repositioned the Republican Party to capitalize
on the seismic shifts occurring in the American electorate, but also the person
who invented the “Sun Belt” and named the New Right. While political
prophets have been a dime a dozen in American history, few have actually garnered
a record of accuracy. Kevin Phillips is an exception.
American Theocracy (2006) represents the author’s treatise
against the political order he helped inspire. Like Nixon in late 1969, the
author has become immensely disillusioned with America’s leadership class
and the current state of politics in the American Republic. Having become a
strong critique of the Bush dynasty in recent years, Phillips’ last three
books have offered a series of interlocking criticisms about trends within the
Republican Party. American Theocracy, in many ways, synthesizes his
previous arguments into a cogent whole and blends historical analysis with political
polemic.
In a word, Phillips believes that a “perfect storm” is on the horizon.
In his mind, this coming maelstrom is linked with the burgeoning union between
oil politics, grassroots fundamentalism, and the financialization of the national
economy. His book is broken into three sections that systematically analyze
the historic roots of these trends, how the current Bush administration has
capitalized on them, and how events will likely unfold in the next several decades.
His prognosis is not encouraging. The author argues, in short, that the American
South has successfully repositioned itself at the cultural forefront of U.S.
society at the very moment when the country is facing a series of entrenched
energy, geopolitical, and financial crises. Rather than having responsible
and rational leaders to guide the United States through this difficult period,
the American electorate has empowered a group of people indebted to religious
fundamentalism and the oil-national security complex.
The first part of American Theocracy, along these lines, looks at the
connections between American global hegemony and oil. According to Phillips,
economic power has been historically derived from the ability of different nation-states
to exploit single energy resources. Prefacing his argument with an overview
of how whale oil shaped the fate of the Dutch Empire in the 1600s, the author
charts the birth of oil geopolitics in the twentieth century and how American
corporations replaced British imperialists in oil rich regions like the Middle
East. America’s unprecedented access to foreign oil reserves essentially
fueled American affluence after World War II by strengthening the country’s
infrastructures and facilitating the rise of the automobile industry.
The problem with oil, however, is that it is a nonrenewable resource. With
this in mind, Phillips castigates the Republican Party for not confronting this
inevitable dilemma with long-term planning and allowing itself to become constrained
by an “unholy” alliance with powerbrokers from the Texas oil industry.
Placing precedence on the similarities between the United States and past single
energy resource hegemons, the author concludes unflinchingly that the recent
Iraq War was tied with America’s increasingly obvious oil dependency.
The second part of American Theocracy places these events against the
backdrop of the rise of fundamental Christianity in the United States. Positioning
sect-driven religion as the irrational and anti-modern alternative to mainstream
Christianity, the author looks at how radical religiosity gained traction in
the wake of the 1960s. Drawing its strength from Southern Baptist preachers
like Billy Graham, this emotional ideology spread rapidly through suburbia in
the 1970s, promoted a literal interpretation of the Bible, and became politically
active over cultural issues like abortion, sexuality, and feminism.
According to Phillips, as fundamentalism gained a wider audience it played
a more vocal role in shaping the parameters of public discourse. Denouncing
this trend, the author hearkens upon the historical examples of Spain and Britain
to illustrate the connection between national decline and social polarization
over cultural issues. In both examples, religious groups capitalized on social
discord and presented dangerously simplistic explanations of international relations.
Positing that the Republican Party facilitated the “Southernization”
of American politics for selfish reasons, Phillips argues that a group of “Christian
Reconstructions” are now similarly bent on redefining the boundaries between
the church and state and redressing American social problems through Biblical
literalism.
The final third of American Theocracy exposes why this development is
so problematic. The central dilemma in American society, in Phillips’
mind, is not the moral ramifications of sexual norms or abortion practices,
but the burgeoning financialization of the national economy. Placing precedence
on the decline of the American manufacturing sector and the expansion of national
debt, the author argues that the United States is rapidly spiraling toward economic
ruin.
Although the technology-led stock-market boom and the credit-industrial complex
masked the depth of this problem during the late 1990s, the debt being accrued
by the Iraq War and the dilemma of the real-estate bubble will soon expose the
bankruptcy of America’s economic practices. Again relying on precedents
from Dutch and British history, Phillips asserts that hegemons have historically
been unable to maintain their global dominance when their economies no longer
produce wealth. The tendency for Dutch citizens to use credit methods to maintain
affluent lifestyles, for instance, is presented by the author as an indicator
of their looming economic decline. Caught in a web of mass consumption, household
debt, and falling personal wages, America’s willingness to outsource or
automate its manufacturing core has placed the country in a similarly precarious
situation. Rejecting the idea that the U.S. economy can survive with only a
financial sector, Phillips concludes his book with speculations about America’s
geopolitical decline and the legacy of Republican leadership.
American Theocracy reads like an impressionist painting. As one thumbs
through each individual page, it is easy to be consumed by the author’s
historical reductionism and conspiratorial assertions. For a trained historian,
Phillips’ tendency to portray Asia in terms of Otherness can be off-putting,
his clear antipathy toward religious “irrationalism” is thinly veiled,
and his explanation of economic theory is profoundly muddled. Nonetheless,
when one steps back from the book it becomes abundantly obvious that the author
has accomplished something important. By gracefully identifying the interrelationship
between three broad trends in American society, Phillips has demonstrated (better
than any pundit to date) why the United States should envision itself
at a turning point in the twenty-first century. Divided by categories of “Left”
and “Right” that reflect the political battles of a bygone era,
America’s leaders are woefully unprepared for the tangible economic and
environmental realities of the post-Cold War world. Although our nation has
existed in perpetual prosperity for over half a century, its wealth remains
derived from an international system and set of natural resources that are in
decline. Change is coming. And according to Kevin Phillips, the party he helped
recreate in the 1970s is no longer fit for leadership.
[1] H.R. Haldeman,
Haldeman Diaries
(New York: G.P. Putnams, 1994) 411.